A quiet storm appears to be brewing on the American right, and at the center of it are two of the most influential figures in modern conservatism: Donald J. Trump and Elon Musk.
The spark? A sweeping, controversial congressional spending package that President Trump has dubbed the "big beautiful bill" and that Elon Musk recently scorched on social media as a “disgusting abomination.” With over 134 million views on Musk's viral post and a call to action for his followers to pressure Congress into killing the bill, the billionaire’s very public dissent has triggered speculation of a serious rift between the two powerhouses.
A Civil War on the Right? (spoiler... not at all)
Despite the firestorm Musk ignited, the Trump camp has responded with uncharacteristic calm, standing firmly behind the bill. The White House has acknowledged concerns but reaffirmed that Trump is “sticking to it.” This, observers note, is indicative of a broader strategic calculation: maintaining party unity around a measure Trump believes is both necessary and popular.
At the heart of the disagreement are conflicting deficit projections. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates the bill would add $2.4 trillion to the deficit over 10 years. Meanwhile, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) projects a $1.4 trillion reduction in the same timeframe. Critics and deficit hawks have seized on the CBO’s projection, while the Trump administration leans heavily on the OMB’s numbers to defend the bill’s long-term value.
Dysfunction Within the GOP
More than just a policy dispute, the clash exposes a longstanding divide inside the Republican Party. Unlike the Democrats who generally remain ideologically aligned between their grassroots and leadership the GOP remains fractured. The base demands less government and less spending, but many within the Republican congressional leadership continue to support expansive budgets for sectors like defense and infrastructure.
This disunity forces leaders like Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Minority Leader John Thune to walk a tightrope trying to satisfy both fiscal conservatives and pro-Trump populists. The wildly different projections from CBO and OMB only exacerbate that internal dysfunction.
Musk’s Motives Under Scrutiny
While Musk’s public opposition to the bill is clear, his private motivations are less so. According to The Wall Street Journal, Musk’s fury may stem not from fiscal principles, but from a personal vendetta. Trump’s White House recently nixed Musk ally Jared Isaacman’s nomination to lead NASA despite Musk’s considerable financial support during the 2024 campaign. Axios adds several additional reasons: the bill’s rollback of EV tax credits, the White House's push for Musk to step down from Dogecoin leadership, rejection of Starlink as the national air traffic control system, and yes Isaacman’s failed nomination.
But all these reports rely on anonymous sources, making it difficult to separate hard facts from political gossip. Still, Musk’s aggressive posture including threats to fund primary challengers against Republicans who back the bill shows this fight could have real political consequences.
The Carrot, the Stick, and the MAGA Base
In the midst of this high-stakes battle, David Marcus of Fox News laid out the unavoidable political reality facing Republicans. The “stick” is dire: failure to pass the bill would trigger a $4 trillion tax increase, the largest in American history an electoral disaster for the GOP. The “carrot” is equally powerful: the bill is broadly popular among Trump’s base.
A Napolitan News Service poll found 44% of voters support the bill, compared to 38% who oppose it. Among Trump supporters, that number skyrockets to 80% approval. Even more telling: while 63% of those same Trump backers are concerned about government spending, they still back the bill overall. Why? Because Trump has promised and already begun a follow-up package of recissions to slash spending later.
Trump’s Word Is Still Law
Elon Musk may have deep pockets, but Trump’s endorsement remains the most valuable political asset in Republican politics. For incumbents who vote for the bill, that endorsement is priceless. For those who vote against it like Thomas Massie or Rand Paul Trump’s wrath can be career-ending.
MAGA may like Elon Musk. They may even love him. But they are loyal to Trump.
The bill’s passage is expected, likely not by July 4th as initially hoped, but by August, in conjunction with the next debt ceiling showdown. Political logic (and survival instincts) make its passage almost inevitable.
The Bigger Picture
In the end, any rift between Trump and Musk is likely to be short-lived. While their methods and motives may differ, both remain central figures in the conservative movement. As the 2026 midterms approach, and with the 2028 race looming on the horizon, their ability to reconcile may prove crucial to the MAGA coalition’s future strength.
For now, the big beautiful bill stands tall and with it, Trump’s dominance over the Republican Party. Elon Musk may be the richest man in the world, but in MAGA World, Donald Trump is still king.
...added after the inital article. updated 6/5/25 3:46pm EST
In a bizarre escalation, Elon Musk recently implied that President Trump was somehow connected to Jeffrey Epstein, suggesting he was on the so-called “Epstein list.” The claim was immediately debunked...again. As users across X (formerly Twitter) pointed out, even the FBI under Trump-hostile leadership confirmed he was not on any such list. "If DJT was on any Epstein list, it would have been made public a long time ago," wrote one user. Others noted that known criminals, mobsters, and elites have all admitted they couldn’t corrupt Trump, and he famously cut ties with Epstein years ago. Musk’s accusation wasn’t just false; it was reckless, and to many MAGA loyalists, it confirmed what this feud really is: political theatre. As one user put it, “Elon doesn’t understand politics. Elon is done.”
Amidst this controversy, some speculate that the public discord between Trump and Musk over the "big beautiful bill" might be a strategic maneuver. According to a Newsmax report, there are suggestions that Trump and Musk could be orchestrating this conflict to intentionally derail the bill, possibly to renegotiate terms or shift political narratives. While this theory remains unsubstantiated, it highlights the complex interplay of politics and strategy in high-stakes legislative processes.
https://x.com/i/status/1930666596948644271