Stay Calm: The Real Numbers Show Trump is Strong in 2024
Lately, I've seen a lot of talk about polls showing Trump falling behind in the 2024 race, and I wanted to take a moment to dig into the numbers and set the record straight. There’s a lot of misinformation floating around, and it’s important to understand what’s really happening.
First of all, let’s address the recent polls that claim Trump is trailing. Many of these polls are skewed by oversampling Democrat-leaning demographics, creating a false narrative. The reality is quite different: Trump hasn’t lost any of his 2020 base. Every single person who voted for Trump back then is likely to vote for him again. Remember, Trump won over 74 million votes in 2020—the most votes ever for an incumbent president.
Voter registration is another key indicator that tells a different story than the one the media is pushing. Republicans are dominating in voter registration, especially in battleground states like Pennsylvania. In Pennsylvania alone, Republicans are out-registering Democrats 4 to 1. This is a massive show of strength that the mainstream media conveniently ignores.
Now, let’s talk about the polling numbers that really matter. According to Rasmussen Reports, one of the most accurate and reliable polling firms, Trump is currently leading Kamala Harris by 3 to 4 points nationally. This is consistent with their findings over the past few months, where Trump has been ahead by as much as 5 to 10 points at various times.
Looking deeper into the internals, Trump is doing incredibly well across key demographics. For example:
Trump is leading Harris by 6 points among men.
Among women, Trump and Harris are nearly tied, which is significant because Democrats typically perform better with female voters.
Trump is winning 25-30% of the black vote, which is unprecedented for a Republican candidate in recent history.
He’s also leading among Hispanic voters by 2 points.
Perhaps most importantly, Trump is winning independent voters by 9 points—a critical group that some other polls misleadingly claim Harris is leading.
So, why are we suddenly seeing these headlines about Harris gaining ground? It’s all part of a coordinated media effort known as ‘astroturfing.’ This is where a fake grassroots movement is created to make it seem like there’s overwhelming support for a candidate. But it’s all smoke and mirrors. Kamala Harris remains one of the most unpopular vice presidents in modern history, and her campaign is being propped up by a carefully orchestrated media narrative.
For some perspective, let’s compare Harris to Biden’s performance at this same point in the 2020 race. Four years ago, Biden was leading by 8 points nationally. Today, Harris is down by 1 point—she’s performing 7 points worse than Biden did, which translates to millions of voters. Yet, somehow, the media is trying to convince us that she’s competitive in key states like Florida, where Trump won by 3 to 5 points in recent polls. The numbers simply don’t add up.
Rasmussen’s latest data, which is updated nightly, shows Trump leading Harris 49% to 45% in a direct matchup. These are significant numbers that indicate a consistent and strong lead for Trump. Unlike some pollsters who adjust their data to fit a desired narrative, Rasmussen has remained transparent and consistent with their methodology, which accurately predicted past elections.
In fact, when you look at the state polls, the picture becomes even clearer. For instance, in Georgia, Trump is leading by 5 points. There’s no scenario where Trump is up by 5 in Georgia but only 3 to 5 points in Florida, especially when you consider Harris is performing so much worse than Biden nationally.
So, what does all of this mean for the MAGA movement? The recent polls suggesting Trump is in trouble are more about pushing a narrative than reflecting reality. The actual data—the real numbers—show that Trump’s base is solid, his support is growing, and he’s well-positioned heading into the election. Don’t let the media’s astroturfing tactics shake your confidence. The movement is strong, the numbers are on our side, and we’re on the right track.
Its far from over for sure but Trump is positioned very nicely as of the writing of this post.
source links:
NEW NUMBERS: Trump is UP in Our Poll, Just Like He Was Against Biden - Don't Believe the Gaslighting - Rasmussen
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wsRp8EdLeXA
Dr. Steve Turley
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jc-aUWCFeWQ