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Key Swing State Issues Favor the GOP as Kamala Harris’s Numbers Flatten
What This Means for Trump’s Strategy
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In the latest analysis of polling data from Rasmussen Reports, some crucial insights emerged that could shape the upcoming election. Mark Mitchell from Rasmussen highlighted how the issues driving voter sentiment in the top swing states align closely with the GOP’s platform, offering Donald Trump a clear path forward. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris’s polling numbers appear to have flattened, presenting both a challenge for her campaign and an opportunity for Trump.

Swing States and the GOP Advantage

Mitchell's analysis focused on several key swing states—Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—that will play a pivotal role in the election. These states are highly competitive, but the top issues for voters in these regions align well with the GOP’s strengths:

  • Economy: The economy remains the top concern across all swing states. For example, in Nevada, 71% of voters consider the economy a very important issue. This focus on economic concerns provides Trump with a solid platform, as economic growth and job creation are central to his campaign.

  • Illegal Immigration: Immigration is another critical issue, particularly in states like Wisconsin, where border security is the number one concern among undecided voters. The GOP’s strong stance on immigration and border security could help sway these voters toward Trump.

  • Crime: Violent crime also ranks as a major concern, especially among undecided voters. In Wisconsin, crime is a key issue that could influence voter decisions, and Trump’s law-and-order message could resonate strongly in these areas.

Kamala Harris’s Numbers Flatten

While these key issues favor the GOP, Kamala Harris’s polling numbers have shown signs of flattening. Despite some early gains, her support has remained steady at around 45%. This suggests that her campaign may be struggling to maintain momentum, giving Trump an opportunity to capitalize on voter concerns that align more closely with his platform.

What This Means for Trump

The alignment of these top issues—economy, immigration, and crime—with the GOP’s platform suggests that Donald Trump has a strong foundation to build on in these crucial swing states. With Harris’s numbers leveling off, Trump can gain an edge by focusing his campaign on the issues that matter most to voters.

Strategy Moving Forward

For Trump to maximize his chances of winning these key states, his campaign should:

  1. Emphasize Economic Policies: With the economy being the top concern, Trump should highlight his past economic successes and present clear plans for future growth, particularly in areas hit hard by economic challenges.

  2. Strengthen Immigration Messaging: Given the importance of border security, especially in states like Wisconsin, Trump should double down on his immigration policies, emphasizing how his approach will secure the borders and protect American jobs.

  3. Address Crime Concerns: Crime is a significant issue for undecided voters, and Trump can appeal to these voters by presenting strong law-and-order policies that promise to reduce crime and increase safety in their communities.

Final Thoughts

The alignment of voter concerns with the GOP’s key issues, coupled with Kamala Harris’s flattening numbers, offers Trump a clear path to success in the upcoming election. By focusing his campaign on the economy, immigration, and crime, Trump can potentially secure the support he needs in these crucial swing states. If he stays on message and addresses the concerns that matter most to voters, he should be in a strong position to win these battlegrounds and, ultimately, the election.

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Odds of Love: A Probability Study Proving Jasmine Crockett’s Race Baiting Ignores the Real Challenges of Finding a Conservative Black Match

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Representative Jasmine Crockett’s recent criticism of Representative Byron Donalds for marrying a white woman highlights a regressive mindset steeped in ignorance and racial bias, casting doubt on her ability to engage with the diverse realities of American life.

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1906302926571618409

By implying that Donalds has been “whitewashed” through his interracial marriage, Crockett clings to outdated stereotypes that dictate racial loyalty over personal agency, exposing her own hypocrisy in advocating for equality while policing others’ private choices. This narrow perspective stands in stark contrast to the evolving dynamics of relationships across racial lines, as evidenced by a probabilistic analysis of partner selection among conservative Black individuals. To illustrate the complexity of such dynamics, consider the following study estimating the likelihood of a conservative Black man finding and marrying a conservative Black woman who aligns with his values—a scenario Crockett might deem more “acceptable,” yet one fraught with its own...

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25 plus reasons why Superman SUCKS - SPOILERS

MORE SPOILERS

1. Superman cries constantly.
2. Lex Luthor cries too...more soap opera than superhero.
3. Lois Lane fights Superman’s battles for him.
4. Superman is emasculated repeatedly, especially by Lois.
5. He's not respected...by the government, the public, or even his peers.
6. He's upstaged by a dog (Krypto steals emotional and action scenes).
7. He's upstaged again by the Justice Gang...his own allies get more spotlight.
8. Lex Luthor is cartoonish, flat, and lacks ideological depth.
9. The "evil Kryptonian parents" twist is a blatant post-American metaphor.
10. Kryptonian origin becomes a Marxist-style critique of American exceptionalism.
11. Superman is made effeminate...both in mannerisms and emotional fragility.
12. The illegal immigration allegory backfires...Superman is depicted as a security threat.
13. Screenplay over-explains everything, insulting the audience’s intelligence.
14. Plot is bloated, overly dense, and rushed in the final act.
15. His powers are “coded” ...

SUPERMAN's (2025) SICK ORIGIN - SPOILERS

*SPOILERS WARING***

Superman 2025 unveils a radically altered origin: Superman’s Kryptonian parents secretly planned for him to conquer Earth and reproduce with numerous women, deeming humanity inferior. This is a fact revealed only when Lex Luthor exposes a hidden message. This isn’t merely a narrative twist; it reflects an unsettling cultural current.

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Post-Americanism seeks the destruction of America as founded, striving to supplant her with a Marxist regime crafted in its own image. In Superman 2025, a cherished symbol of freedom and justice is reimagined as a tool of domination. This is a mirroring of broader cultural efforts meant to tear down core American values, rewrite history, and invert our understanding of heroism. It’s a quiet but unmistakable subversion of the ideals that have long defined American identity. We see the same pattern in the removal of statues, the rewriting of songs, the diminishing of patriotism, and ...

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The OBBB was a Herculean achievement, unprecedented in both scope and speed in American history. Critics claimed President Trump could never have his policies codified into law but this single legislative triumph shattered that narrative, enshrining over 20 pillars of the MAGA agenda into permanent statute. It proved not only his ability to lead and legislate, but also cemented his command of the Republican Party.

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Statement on Targeted Worker Policy and Economic Stability

This is not amnesty. No citizenship, permanent residency, or green cards are being offered. The discussion centers on a narrow, employer-driven framework for certain undocumented workers in agriculture, hospitality, and related sectors to remain temporarily under legal supervision.

The goal is simple: allow employers (particularly in industries vital to the economy) to vouch for specific individuals who have worked consistently, avoided criminal activity, and filled roles that are increasingly difficult to staff. These workers would be allowed to stay and pay taxes, but would not be eligible for citizenship or public benefits.

Mass removal of millions of workers (many of whom are concentrated in food production and service industries) would risk widespread economic disruption. Labor shortages are already pressing. Abrupt action without planning would strain supply chains, drive up prices, and hit American businesses hard.

People need to take a step back and allow President Trump and the Republican leadership to do their jobs. The left wants nothing more than to fracture the MAGA coalition. They’ve used this playbook before, twisting policy details to divide the movement and weaken its resolve. Don’t fall for it. Stay focused, stay united, and stay on mission.

This is not a departure from America First principles. It is a strategic, constitutional response to a complex problem. Securing the border, enforcing the law, and protecting our economy are not mutually exclusive goals. They must be pursued together.

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Comparison: Crouere's Column & Our Analysis – Why the America Party Hurts Democrats Most

In our earlier article, we laid out five key reasons (plus a bonus) why Elon Musk’s new American Party is far more likely to fracture the Left than disrupt MAGA or the Republican base. Now, Jeff Crouere, in his July 6th column, independently reaches many of the same conclusions and that agreement matters, because very few are saying this out loud.

Here’s where we align:

1. The American Party Doesn’t Threaten MAGA
Crouere notes what we emphasized: Trump holds historic levels of support. Over 90% GOP approval and a 96% win rate for his endorsed candidates. In our piece, we highlighted that the MAGA coalition is built on 80/20 issues, policy wins, and cultural clarity. Elon’s appeal doesn’t dent that loyalty.

2. Democrats Are Disorganized and Vulnerable
Both articles point out that Democrats are fractured, with weak 2028 candidates (Crouere cites Buttigieg at 16%, Kamala Harris at 13%) and no coherent leadership. In our piece, we went further by breaking down how Musk’s platform pulls more from Greens, progressives, and disaffected Dems than from any Republican constituency.

3. Musk Appeals to Left-Leaning Technocrats, Not the Base
We mentioned that Musk’s core base (tech libertarians, green moderates, and pro-EV centrists) overlaps with Dem-leaning independents far more than MAGA. Crouere reinforces this by pointing out that the loudest voices backing Musk’s new party are left-of-center celebrities like Mark Cuban and Anthony Scaramucci.

4. Immigration and Globalism Make Musk a Poor Fit for the Right
Crouere rightly flags Musk’s support of H-1B visas, close ties to China, and his reliance on government subsidies for EVs and AI. We noted similar concerns in our breakdown. This is true particularly in how his economic views and NASA lobbying conflict with America First ideals.

5. This Is Not a Movement. It’s a Disruption Play
Crouere cites Musk’s own words about targeting 2–3 Senate races and 8–10 House seats to influence key legislation. In our article, we labeled this a spoiler strategy, not a serious realignment. And again, spoilers hurt fractured coalitions, not unified ones like MAGA.

Bonus Point From Our Article – The Census Time Bomb

One point we emphasized that Crouere didn’t mention is the MTG Census Bill. If passed, this bill would exclude non-citizens from House seat apportionment, cutting the Democrats’ base by 20–25 House seats and shifting Electoral College votes. That, combined with Musk siphoning voters, could render the Left a permanent minority as Benny Johnson bluntly warned.

 Again...in the end...

So while many pundits still fear Musk will “split the Right,” both our article and Crouere’s make clear: the real risk is to the Democrats. And not enough voices are saying this.

When MAGA is unified, and the Left is fractured, a third party isn’t a threat—it’s a gift.

 

9 years ago, the Dems stage a "sit in" at in the US Capitol 

 

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5 Reasons Why Elon Musk’s ‘American Party’ Won’t Hurt the MAGA Movement

Today, Elon Musk formally announced the creation of a new political movement: The American Party. While mainstream pundits rushed to speculate about a potential “spoiler” effect for Trump’s America First agenda, the reality is far less dramatic.

This is not a threat to MAGA. Here’s 5 (plus a bonus) reasons why.

Elon sporting a black eye. Image - NY Post

 

✅ 1. The MAGA Coalition Is Tight and Built on 80/20 Issues

The America First movement is united around core 80/20 issues: secure borders, strong economy, peace through strength, energy independence, parental rights, and anti-wokeness. These are issues where 80%+ of Americans agree and where Trump leads with clarity, not ambiguity.

Electric Vehicles? That’s not even on the radar for most voters. Elon's niche issue (EV advocacy) is a footnote within the broader MAGA coalition. The EV segment of MAGA voters is tiny, and they overwhelmingly support Trump in spite of his skepticism toward EV mandates.

✅ 2. Musk's Base Comes from the Left and Libertarians, Not MAGA

Let’s do the math. The likely pool of voters for the American Party includes:

  • 🌱 Green Party: ~1–2% nationally

  • 🟡 Libertarian Party: ~2–3% nationally

  • 🔵 Disaffected Democrats: small fraction, especially as Dems implode post-NYC primary

  • 🟥 MAGA defectors: negligible. Approval for Trump is above 90% in GOP primaries

Even in a best-case scenario, Musk is splitting the Left and the Libertarians not MAGA.

Red Eagles politics put it this way:

"Elon's party is tragic news for the already dead Lolbertarian Party Their votes are the only ones that Elon's joke of a party can viably get"


Consider disaffected Democrats. Only a small fraction are likely to defect, especially as the party fractures following the NYC primary debacle. Democrats are already distancing themselves from Rep. Jamaal Bowman, whose far-left antics (including the infamous fire alarm stunt) and alignment with radical activist causes have made him politically radioactive outside progressive bubbles. The establishment wing is in damage control, and as I noted, "The American Party will only split Greens, Democrats, and Libertarians… Dems are already in a civil war due to the NYC race."


✅ 3. Musk Is a Political Novice

Elon may be brilliant in tech and innovation, but he’s bad at politics. Why? Because he’s naïve. He underestimates how deeply entrenched, coordinated, and ruthless the political establishment is.

Larry Schweikart hit the nail on the head:

"Elon is bad at politics because he's naive. He needs to understand how the system works, both at its best and at its worst."

✅ 4. Trump Is the Most Popular Republican Since Reagan

The numbers don’t lie:

  • 🔥 Trump leads the GOP with 63% strong approval, surpassing his 1st-term average of 53%

  • 🧱 Over 95% of Trump-endorsed candidates won their primaries

  • 🇺🇸 His support among core MAGA voters is rock solid, especially post-OBBBA and SCOTUS wins

Larry summed it up:

“Elon needs Trump. Trump don’t need Elon.”


✅ 5. Trump Is Laser-Focused and Unbothered

In a direct quote from Robert Costa, Trump brushed off the Musk noise:

“That’s all I focus on,” Trump said of his presidency. “I don’t focus on anything else.”

He’s not chasing distractions. He’s delivering policy wins, one after another.

Elon’s Plan to Tip the Senate? Not Happening.

Elon’s rumored strategy: cherry-pick 2–3 House seats and maybe a Senate seat to play spoiler by 2028. But even that is a moonshot:

  • The House races Musk is targeting are in blue or swing districts already fractured by infighting

  • Trump’s grassroots infrastructure in those areas is battle-tested

  • Any “spoiler” effect will more likely siphon off Biden-leaning independents, not core GOP

Why the American Party Can’t Break MAGA and Won’t Unite the Left

Disaffected Democrats? That’s a pipe dream. Only a tiny sliver are likely to defect especially in light of the chaos unfolding after the NYC primary.

Democrats are already distancing themselves from radical figures like Rep. Jamaal Bowman, whose far-left antics—like pulling a fire alarm during a congressional vote and championing fringe activist causes have made him a liability. He’s now politically radioactive outside of the progressive Twitter echo chamber.

The Democratic establishment is in full-blown damage control mode, desperately trying to re-center ahead of 2026. And in that climate, Elon Musk’s tech-libertarian populism has zero appeal to their fractured base.

So let’s break it down again:

 

Bonus Reason: The MTG Census Bill Will Reshape the Electoral Map Forever

Perhaps the most devastating blow to the Democratic Party isn’t coming from Elon Musk or third-party spoilers—it’s coming from inside the House. If Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s Census Bill is passed and signed into law as part of the America First agenda, the impact will be historic and irreversible. The bill would count only U.S. citizens for purposes of apportioning House seats and Electoral College votes, removing millions of illegal aliens from the political equation.

As Benny Johnson put it:

“Once 20 million criminal aliens are deported, they have no future. No path to power. They’ll lose 25 House seats and every Presidential [election] for a generation. Permanent minority.”

This is the political extinction event Democrats fear most. It would collapse their artificial margins in deep-blue urban districts, shift 20 to 25 House seats, and strip them of key Electoral College votes, effectively locking them out of the White House for generations. It’s not just a policy reform; it’s a generational shift in representation.

Musk’s American Party is a side show. The real realignment is already underway.



In the end, Elon Musk’s new American Party may attract a handful of disaffected Greens, Libertarians, or progressive Democrats caught in their party’s internal collapse. But it will not fracture the MAGA coalition. That coalition remains one of the most disciplined, energized, and policy-driven political forces in American history.

Donald Trump’s support isn’t grounded in personality or media hype. It’s rooted in real accomplishments, a clear vision for the country, and a commitment to the foundational issues that resonate with everyday Americans. The strength of the movement comes from its values: secure borders, economic freedom, energy independence, peace through strength, and a fierce defense of American culture and sovereignty.

Musk may command headlines and court online engagement, but headlines don’t win elections movements do. And the America First movement is not only intact, it’s expanding.

No matter how many new parties Elon tries to launch, the truth is simple: he’s not pulling MAGA voters with him. The base is focused, immovable, and loyal to the mission not the noise.

President Trump continues to lead, not just as a political figure, but as the standard-bearer for a cause that resonates across generations. The MAGA movement is not looking for alternatives. It’s already found its champion.

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