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Kamala’s Uphill Battle: The DNC's Contradictory Gamble Backfires as Trump Gains Ground
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As we head into Day 4 of the Democratic National Convention, with Vice President Kamala Harris set to give her keynote speech, the challenges she faces are stark and glaring. Harris, though technically not the incumbent president, is being treated as such, a strategy that presents significant hurdles. The Democrats are attempting to navigate a contradictory narrative that’s difficult to sustain: they want Harris to promise solutions to problems she has been a part of for the last four years.

Just last month, in July, the Democrats were touting the economy under Biden as strong, a typical stance for an incumbent defending their record. However, as August has unfolded and the economic realities have become harder to ignore, the message has shifted drastically. Now, Harris is being positioned as the candidate who will fix the very economy her administration claimed was thriving just weeks ago. This flip-flop is problematic because it ignores the fact that Harris has been in office the entire time and has done little to address the issues she now claims to be able to fix.

This inconsistency is not lost on voters, and it's reflected in the current polling and betting markets. Historically, national conventions provide a significant poll boost to candidates—Hillary Clinton saw a 10-point bump in 2016, and even Biden experienced a surge in 2020. Yet, as we enter Day 4 of the DNC, instead of gaining ground, Harris has seen the gap widen in favor of Trump. Betting markets, which initially favored Harris, have swung dramatically towards Trump, now showing him with a seven-point lead—a double-digit swing in just a few days.

This shift highlights a growing skepticism among the electorate. Voters are questioning how Harris can promise to solve the nation's problems when she has been part of the administration that created or exacerbated them. The recent jobs report "correction," revealing that job growth was overstated by nearly a million jobs since March 2024—a 30% correction—only deepens concerns about the economy and the administration's transparency. This revision reignites fears of a recession, which historically spells doom for incumbent administrations during elections.

The Democratic Party’s messaging struggles are further compounded by their own convention strategy. Despite controlling the White House for 12 of the last 16 years, they have focused their attacks almost exclusively on Trump, mentioning him over 140 times during the convention while barely addressing voter concerns like the economy, inflation, and crime. Inflation, the number one issue for voters, was mentioned just three times. This lack of focus on real issues leaves Harris in a precarious position as she steps up to make her case.

The challenge for Harris is clear: she is being asked to fix problems she had a hand in creating, all while being treated like an incumbent in a race where she lacks the typical advantages of one. As the convention draws to a close, it’s becoming evident that this contradictory approach is not resonating with voters, who are increasingly skeptical of a candidate who wants it both ways—claiming credit for successes while distancing herself from failures.

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Odds of Love: A Probability Study Proving Jasmine Crockett’s Race Baiting Ignores the Real Challenges of Finding a Conservative Black Match

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Representative Jasmine Crockett’s recent criticism of Representative Byron Donalds for marrying a white woman highlights a regressive mindset steeped in ignorance and racial bias, casting doubt on her ability to engage with the diverse realities of American life.

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1906302926571618409

By implying that Donalds has been “whitewashed” through his interracial marriage, Crockett clings to outdated stereotypes that dictate racial loyalty over personal agency, exposing her own hypocrisy in advocating for equality while policing others’ private choices. This narrow perspective stands in stark contrast to the evolving dynamics of relationships across racial lines, as evidenced by a probabilistic analysis of partner selection among conservative Black individuals. To illustrate the complexity of such dynamics, consider the following study estimating the likelihood of a conservative Black man finding and marrying a conservative Black woman who aligns with his values—a scenario Crockett might deem more “acceptable,” yet one fraught with its own...

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Biblical Citizenship in Modern America Commentary Ep14 - Understanding the Times 3

00:00 Introduction
02:03 Week 13 review
04:56 Our Current Education System
05:59 Six Verbs for Advancing Truth in the Country
09:08 What Our Elected Officials Don't Know About America
10:44 The Foundation of Law
12:12 Who Were the Signers of the Declaration of Independence?
13:52 Benjamin Rush
15:44 What is Patriotism?
18:34 Summary of Workbook

00:25:36

President Trump has the constitutional and statutory authority to reclaim or neutralize Chinese-owned land near U.S. military installations through tools like FIRRMA, IEEPA, and national defense powers. If such land poses a national security risk, the government can either:

✔Confiscate the property under emergency powers, if it's tied to a foreign adversary’s intelligence or military operations, or

✔Force a sale at fair market value under eminent domain or CFIUS-led divestiture.

Japan Rice Crisis and Trump Asian Tariffs

🔥 What’s Actually Happening?

1. Japan has a rice disaster.
Years of government manipulation (subsidies, price supports, and redirection of rice production for political reasons) have led to a supply shortage and price shock. Farmers shifted from staple rice to feed rice and other crops, because the government was bribing them to do it. And now consumers are being crushed.

2. Japan won’t import U.S. rice.
Even in the middle of a crisis, Japan has refused to allow in meaningful amounts of cheaper, high-quality U.S. rice, to protect their own farm lobby (which props up the ruling LDP). This is economic suicide.

3. Trump is using the tariff hammer.
By slapping a 25% tariff on Japanese autos, Trump is targeting Japan where it hurts: exports, especially autos, which are their lifeline. It’s also strategic: Japan has a massive trade surplus with the U.S., and Trump is saying enough is enough.

🧠 What’s the Likely Outcome?
🇯🇵 1. Economic and Political Chaos in Japan
Japan’s bond market is already ...

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Elon recent behavior raises serious questions about his political intentions and integrity. According to President Trump, Musk gave his full endorsement during the campaign, despite knowing Trump planned to eliminate the federal EV mandate, a policy Musk now loudly opposes. At the same time, Musk privately lobbied for a close associate (later revealed to be a lifelong Democrat with no Republican ties) to lead NASA, despite SpaceX’s massive financial relationship with the agency. Had Trump reversed course on EV policy or agreed to that appointment, it could have resulted in a major scandal involving broken promises and conflicts of interest.

Taken together, these events raise a troubling question: was this a genuine alliance or a setup from the beginning? Musk's now-infamous Halloween costume (where he dressed in ornate red armor featuring a Baphomet-style goat’s head, an image long associated with occultism, Satanism, and rebellion against God) may not have been a harmless joke, but a...

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Statement on Targeted Worker Policy and Economic Stability

This is not amnesty. No citizenship, permanent residency, or green cards are being offered. The discussion centers on a narrow, employer-driven framework for certain undocumented workers in agriculture, hospitality, and related sectors to remain temporarily under legal supervision.

The goal is simple: allow employers (particularly in industries vital to the economy) to vouch for specific individuals who have worked consistently, avoided criminal activity, and filled roles that are increasingly difficult to staff. These workers would be allowed to stay and pay taxes, but would not be eligible for citizenship or public benefits.

Mass removal of millions of workers (many of whom are concentrated in food production and service industries) would risk widespread economic disruption. Labor shortages are already pressing. Abrupt action without planning would strain supply chains, drive up prices, and hit American businesses hard.

People need to take a step back and allow President Trump and the Republican leadership to do their jobs. The left wants nothing more than to fracture the MAGA coalition. They’ve used this playbook before, twisting policy details to divide the movement and weaken its resolve. Don’t fall for it. Stay focused, stay united, and stay on mission.

This is not a departure from America First principles. It is a strategic, constitutional response to a complex problem. Securing the border, enforcing the law, and protecting our economy are not mutually exclusive goals. They must be pursued together.

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Comparison: Crouere's Column & Our Analysis – Why the America Party Hurts Democrats Most

In our earlier article, we laid out five key reasons (plus a bonus) why Elon Musk’s new American Party is far more likely to fracture the Left than disrupt MAGA or the Republican base. Now, Jeff Crouere, in his July 6th column, independently reaches many of the same conclusions and that agreement matters, because very few are saying this out loud.

Here’s where we align:

1. The American Party Doesn’t Threaten MAGA
Crouere notes what we emphasized: Trump holds historic levels of support. Over 90% GOP approval and a 96% win rate for his endorsed candidates. In our piece, we highlighted that the MAGA coalition is built on 80/20 issues, policy wins, and cultural clarity. Elon’s appeal doesn’t dent that loyalty.

2. Democrats Are Disorganized and Vulnerable
Both articles point out that Democrats are fractured, with weak 2028 candidates (Crouere cites Buttigieg at 16%, Kamala Harris at 13%) and no coherent leadership. In our piece, we went further by breaking down how Musk’s platform pulls more from Greens, progressives, and disaffected Dems than from any Republican constituency.

3. Musk Appeals to Left-Leaning Technocrats, Not the Base
We mentioned that Musk’s core base (tech libertarians, green moderates, and pro-EV centrists) overlaps with Dem-leaning independents far more than MAGA. Crouere reinforces this by pointing out that the loudest voices backing Musk’s new party are left-of-center celebrities like Mark Cuban and Anthony Scaramucci.

4. Immigration and Globalism Make Musk a Poor Fit for the Right
Crouere rightly flags Musk’s support of H-1B visas, close ties to China, and his reliance on government subsidies for EVs and AI. We noted similar concerns in our breakdown. This is true particularly in how his economic views and NASA lobbying conflict with America First ideals.

5. This Is Not a Movement. It’s a Disruption Play
Crouere cites Musk’s own words about targeting 2–3 Senate races and 8–10 House seats to influence key legislation. In our article, we labeled this a spoiler strategy, not a serious realignment. And again, spoilers hurt fractured coalitions, not unified ones like MAGA.

Bonus Point From Our Article – The Census Time Bomb

One point we emphasized that Crouere didn’t mention is the MTG Census Bill. If passed, this bill would exclude non-citizens from House seat apportionment, cutting the Democrats’ base by 20–25 House seats and shifting Electoral College votes. That, combined with Musk siphoning voters, could render the Left a permanent minority as Benny Johnson bluntly warned.

 Again...in the end...

So while many pundits still fear Musk will “split the Right,” both our article and Crouere’s make clear: the real risk is to the Democrats. And not enough voices are saying this.

When MAGA is unified, and the Left is fractured, a third party isn’t a threat—it’s a gift.

 

9 years ago, the Dems stage a "sit in" at in the US Capitol 

 

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5 Reasons Why Elon Musk’s ‘American Party’ Won’t Hurt the MAGA Movement

Today, Elon Musk formally announced the creation of a new political movement: The American Party. While mainstream pundits rushed to speculate about a potential “spoiler” effect for Trump’s America First agenda, the reality is far less dramatic.

This is not a threat to MAGA. Here’s 5 (plus a bonus) reasons why.

Elon sporting a black eye. Image - NY Post

 

✅ 1. The MAGA Coalition Is Tight and Built on 80/20 Issues

The America First movement is united around core 80/20 issues: secure borders, strong economy, peace through strength, energy independence, parental rights, and anti-wokeness. These are issues where 80%+ of Americans agree and where Trump leads with clarity, not ambiguity.

Electric Vehicles? That’s not even on the radar for most voters. Elon's niche issue (EV advocacy) is a footnote within the broader MAGA coalition. The EV segment of MAGA voters is tiny, and they overwhelmingly support Trump in spite of his skepticism toward EV mandates.

✅ 2. Musk's Base Comes from the Left and Libertarians, Not MAGA

Let’s do the math. The likely pool of voters for the American Party includes:

  • 🌱 Green Party: ~1–2% nationally

  • 🟡 Libertarian Party: ~2–3% nationally

  • 🔵 Disaffected Democrats: small fraction, especially as Dems implode post-NYC primary

  • 🟥 MAGA defectors: negligible. Approval for Trump is above 90% in GOP primaries

Even in a best-case scenario, Musk is splitting the Left and the Libertarians not MAGA.

Red Eagles politics put it this way:

"Elon's party is tragic news for the already dead Lolbertarian Party Their votes are the only ones that Elon's joke of a party can viably get"


Consider disaffected Democrats. Only a small fraction are likely to defect, especially as the party fractures following the NYC primary debacle. Democrats are already distancing themselves from Rep. Jamaal Bowman, whose far-left antics (including the infamous fire alarm stunt) and alignment with radical activist causes have made him politically radioactive outside progressive bubbles. The establishment wing is in damage control, and as I noted, "The American Party will only split Greens, Democrats, and Libertarians… Dems are already in a civil war due to the NYC race."


✅ 3. Musk Is a Political Novice

Elon may be brilliant in tech and innovation, but he’s bad at politics. Why? Because he’s naïve. He underestimates how deeply entrenched, coordinated, and ruthless the political establishment is.

Larry Schweikart hit the nail on the head:

"Elon is bad at politics because he's naive. He needs to understand how the system works, both at its best and at its worst."

✅ 4. Trump Is the Most Popular Republican Since Reagan

The numbers don’t lie:

  • 🔥 Trump leads the GOP with 63% strong approval, surpassing his 1st-term average of 53%

  • 🧱 Over 95% of Trump-endorsed candidates won their primaries

  • 🇺🇸 His support among core MAGA voters is rock solid, especially post-OBBBA and SCOTUS wins

Larry summed it up:

“Elon needs Trump. Trump don’t need Elon.”


✅ 5. Trump Is Laser-Focused and Unbothered

In a direct quote from Robert Costa, Trump brushed off the Musk noise:

“That’s all I focus on,” Trump said of his presidency. “I don’t focus on anything else.”

He’s not chasing distractions. He’s delivering policy wins, one after another.

Elon’s Plan to Tip the Senate? Not Happening.

Elon’s rumored strategy: cherry-pick 2–3 House seats and maybe a Senate seat to play spoiler by 2028. But even that is a moonshot:

  • The House races Musk is targeting are in blue or swing districts already fractured by infighting

  • Trump’s grassroots infrastructure in those areas is battle-tested

  • Any “spoiler” effect will more likely siphon off Biden-leaning independents, not core GOP

Why the American Party Can’t Break MAGA and Won’t Unite the Left

Disaffected Democrats? That’s a pipe dream. Only a tiny sliver are likely to defect especially in light of the chaos unfolding after the NYC primary.

Democrats are already distancing themselves from radical figures like Rep. Jamaal Bowman, whose far-left antics—like pulling a fire alarm during a congressional vote and championing fringe activist causes have made him a liability. He’s now politically radioactive outside of the progressive Twitter echo chamber.

The Democratic establishment is in full-blown damage control mode, desperately trying to re-center ahead of 2026. And in that climate, Elon Musk’s tech-libertarian populism has zero appeal to their fractured base.

So let’s break it down again:

 

Bonus Reason: The MTG Census Bill Will Reshape the Electoral Map Forever

Perhaps the most devastating blow to the Democratic Party isn’t coming from Elon Musk or third-party spoilers—it’s coming from inside the House. If Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s Census Bill is passed and signed into law as part of the America First agenda, the impact will be historic and irreversible. The bill would count only U.S. citizens for purposes of apportioning House seats and Electoral College votes, removing millions of illegal aliens from the political equation.

As Benny Johnson put it:

“Once 20 million criminal aliens are deported, they have no future. No path to power. They’ll lose 25 House seats and every Presidential [election] for a generation. Permanent minority.”

This is the political extinction event Democrats fear most. It would collapse their artificial margins in deep-blue urban districts, shift 20 to 25 House seats, and strip them of key Electoral College votes, effectively locking them out of the White House for generations. It’s not just a policy reform; it’s a generational shift in representation.

Musk’s American Party is a side show. The real realignment is already underway.



In the end, Elon Musk’s new American Party may attract a handful of disaffected Greens, Libertarians, or progressive Democrats caught in their party’s internal collapse. But it will not fracture the MAGA coalition. That coalition remains one of the most disciplined, energized, and policy-driven political forces in American history.

Donald Trump’s support isn’t grounded in personality or media hype. It’s rooted in real accomplishments, a clear vision for the country, and a commitment to the foundational issues that resonate with everyday Americans. The strength of the movement comes from its values: secure borders, economic freedom, energy independence, peace through strength, and a fierce defense of American culture and sovereignty.

Musk may command headlines and court online engagement, but headlines don’t win elections movements do. And the America First movement is not only intact, it’s expanding.

No matter how many new parties Elon tries to launch, the truth is simple: he’s not pulling MAGA voters with him. The base is focused, immovable, and loyal to the mission not the noise.

President Trump continues to lead, not just as a political figure, but as the standard-bearer for a cause that resonates across generations. The MAGA movement is not looking for alternatives. It’s already found its champion.

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