Trump Gains Huge Boost with RFK Jr. Support – Here’s Why It Matters
Recent polling data from Rich Baris, known as the People's Pundit, suggests that an endorsement from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) could have a substantial impact on Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign. This could potentially be the first time a GOP candidate has received support from a Kennedy. Here’s an analysis of the numbers and their implications for the upcoming election.
RFK Jr.'s Impact on Trump’s Voters
When RFK Jr. supporters were asked who they would vote for if Kennedy was not on the ballot, 40% of them immediately said Trump. This means that out of every 10 Kennedy voters, 4 would choose Trump. But it gets even better. If RFK Jr. actively endorses Trump and campaigns for him, this number shoots up to 60%. That’s 6 out of 10 RFK Jr. supporters moving their vote to Trump! This is crucial because Kennedy's base is largely made up of rural voters who are more likely to support Trump than Kamala Harris or any other Democratic candidate.
Swing States Are Key
This shift in support could have a huge impact in key swing states like Pennsylvania, where the race is incredibly close. Currently, Harris leads Trump by just 2 points in a six-way race. However, if Kennedy drops out and endorses Trump, those Kennedy voters could easily push Trump ahead, giving him a crucial victory in Pennsylvania.
According to Rich Baris, this trend is consistent across other important swing states like Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada. In these states, RFK Jr. voters are more likely to switch to Trump than to Harris. This could give Trump the edge he needs to win these battleground states and, ultimately, the presidency.
Republicans Are Gaining Ground
It’s not just Trump who’s benefiting from these shifts. The latest Rasmussen poll shows that Republicans now lead Democrats by 5 points on the generic Congressional ballot. This means that more people are planning to vote Republican in the upcoming election, which is great news for Trump. Since voters often stick with one party down the ballot, this could translate into a significant advantage for Trump in the presidential race as well.
Red States Are Getting Redder
Trump's dominance in traditionally Republican states is also growing. In Ohio, Trump has a 12-point lead, and in Iowa, he’s up by an astonishing 18 points according to the Des Moines Register poll. These numbers are critical because Ohio and Iowa often predict how other key swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania will vote. If Trump is winning by such large margins in these states, it’s likely that he will perform similarly well in other swing states.
Virginia Is in Play
Another surprising piece of news comes from Virginia, a state that Biden won by 10 points in 2020. New polling shows that Trump is now within 3 points of Harris in Virginia, a state that was once considered safely Democratic. If Virginia is in play, it’s a strong indicator that Trump could be doing even better in other key states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which have more Republican support.
RFK Jr. Endorsement Could Seal the Deal
The potential endorsement from RFK Jr. adds even more momentum to Trump’s campaign. If Kennedy’s supporters switch to Trump, especially in rural areas and swing states, it could make the difference in what promises to be a very close election. With the latest data showing strong support for Republicans and growing enthusiasm for Trump, the 2024 election is shaping up to be a battle that Trump could very well win.
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