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Trump Holds Strong Post-DNC, So Far, No Bounce for Harris
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The 2024 presidential race is heating up, and if you’ve been watching the mainstream media, you might think Kamala Harris is running away with the election. But according to new data, that narrative couldn’t be further from the truth.

Trump vs. Harris: The Real Numbers

In the latest Rasmussen Reports poll, conducted with over 5,000 national respondents, Donald Trump still leads Kamala Harris by 3 points, 49% to 46%. This is despite the media’s portrayal of Harris gaining unstoppable momentum. Notably, these numbers have held strong even as other pollsters seem to be avoiding reporting data that doesn't fit the preferred narrative.

Key Findings from the Poll:

  1. Gender Breakdown: Trump is leading by 3 points among men and has even managed to take a slight 2-point lead among women—a demographic that has been challenging for him in the past.

  2. Age Groups: Among younger voters (18-29), Trump is nearly tied, losing by just 2 points. He does even better with voters aged 30-39.

  3. Race and Ethnicity: Trump is winning the white vote by 10 points, securing nearly 29% of the Black vote, and losing the Hispanic vote by just 2 points. This shows a significant improvement compared to his performance in 2020.

  4. Education: Trump has a strong lead among voters with a high school diploma or some college education but loses among those with graduate degrees by 23 points.

  5. Citizenship: Interestingly, the poll revealed that 3% of likely voters admitted they were not U.S. citizens yet still voted in 2020. This is a significant finding that only Rasmussen Reports seems to be highlighting.

3% Non-Citizens Admitting They Voted: What It Means for Trump’s 2024 Chances

One of the most eye-opening revelations from the latest Rasmussen Reports poll is that 3% of respondents—equating to roughly 121 likely voters—admitted they were not U.S. citizens yet claimed to have voted in the 2020 election. This startling statistic highlights ongoing concerns about election integrity, an issue that has been central to Donald Trump’s campaign.

Despite this potential pool of illegal votes, Trump is still in a strong position for 2024. The Rasmussen poll shows Trump leading Kamala Harris by 2 points nationally, even with the possibility of non-citizen voting affecting the outcome. This resilience underscores Trump’s broad appeal and strong base of support, which remains unwavering despite challenges from within and outside the political system.

What Does This Mean?

Despite the media’s attempts to paint a different picture, Donald Trump is holding his ground and even making gains in key demographics. His appeal to younger voters, non-white voters, and those without a college degree is stronger than ever. This resilience is a clear sign that the race is far from over and that Trump supporters have every reason to feel hopeful.

The RFK Endorsement: A Game Changer?

Just as the polls were being finalized, RFK Jr. publicly endorsed Trump, praising his efforts to tackle childhood health issues. This endorsement could potentially boost Trump’s standing, especially among independent voters and younger demographics who resonate with RFK’s message.

State of the Swing States

Rasmussen also released polling data from key swing states like Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Here, Trump is either tied or within the margin of error, showing he’s performing much better than he did against Biden in 2020. This suggests a strong chance for Trump to secure these critical states.

Trump Narrowly Trails in RCP Polls—But It's a Far Cry from 2020

Despite the challenges and a media narrative favoring Kamala Harris, Donald Trump is currently trailing by only 1.5 points in the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average. While some might view this as a disadvantage, it’s important to put these numbers into context.

Back in 2020, at this same point in the race, Trump was facing a much steeper uphill battle. Nationally, he was down by an average of 6.5 points to Joe Biden, and the situation in key swing states looked even more dire. Rasmussen Reports data from that period showed Trump trailing significantly in most battleground states. For example, the transcript reveals that in some states, Trump was down by as much as 7 points compared to now, where he is either tied or within a 1-3 point margin in states like Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

This sharp improvement in Trump’s polling numbers suggests that he is in a far stronger position now than he was four years ago. Even with a narrow deficit in the RCP average, the current trends indicate that Trump’s campaign is more competitive than it was in 2020, especially in critical swing states where he is outperforming his previous numbers by 6-7 points. This shift could be a crucial factor as the 2024 race continues to unfold.

Conclusion

The mainstream media may be pushing a narrative that Kamala Harris is surging, but the real data tells a different story. Trump’s consistent lead, especially in key demographics and swing states, paints a picture of a race that is very much alive. With solid support across various voter groups and the recent RFK Jr. endorsement, Trump supporters have plenty of reasons to stay optimistic as we move closer to the 2024 election.

For more detailed breakdowns of the poll numbers, check out the full report from Rasmussen Reports.


This article is based on data from the Rasmussen Reports poll, which has been a reliable source of information despite frequent criticism from mainstream media outlets. The poll was conducted with over 5,000 national respondents, ensuring a high level of accuracy with a margin of error of about 2%. For those interested in diving deeper, full cross-tab results will be available soon, allowing you to explore the data in greater detail.

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Odds of Love: A Probability Study Proving Jasmine Crockett’s Race Baiting Ignores the Real Challenges of Finding a Conservative Black Match

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Representative Jasmine Crockett’s recent criticism of Representative Byron Donalds for marrying a white woman highlights a regressive mindset steeped in ignorance and racial bias, casting doubt on her ability to engage with the diverse realities of American life.

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1906302926571618409

By implying that Donalds has been “whitewashed” through his interracial marriage, Crockett clings to outdated stereotypes that dictate racial loyalty over personal agency, exposing her own hypocrisy in advocating for equality while policing others’ private choices. This narrow perspective stands in stark contrast to the evolving dynamics of relationships across racial lines, as evidenced by a probabilistic analysis of partner selection among conservative Black individuals. To illustrate the complexity of such dynamics, consider the following study estimating the likelihood of a conservative Black man finding and marrying a conservative Black woman who aligns with his values—a scenario Crockett might deem more “acceptable,” yet one fraught with its own...

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Biblical Citizenship in Modern America Commentary Ep14 - Understanding the Times 3

00:00 Introduction
02:03 Week 13 review
04:56 Our Current Education System
05:59 Six Verbs for Advancing Truth in the Country
09:08 What Our Elected Officials Don't Know About America
10:44 The Foundation of Law
12:12 Who Were the Signers of the Declaration of Independence?
13:52 Benjamin Rush
15:44 What is Patriotism?
18:34 Summary of Workbook

00:25:36

Just my opinion, but it seems like a lot of people are grifting off Charlie Kirk’s memory for clicks. I’m not saying everyone, and shoot, I could probably be accused of the same thing. Fair point. My team is waiting for at least the funeral before putting out a full load of content... but the former just doesn’t feel right. Full disclosure: I did a one-hour livestream that night and was a guest on another show a few days later, but that’s about it.

I truly appreciate the sincere takes from people who’ve had the courage to speak. So all I’m really asking for is discernment and tastefulness, at least until after the funeral. But that’s just me, and just my opinion.

What I do know is this: The Left is already spinning (and distracting away from) this. I submit that are trying desperately to ease their guilt, undermine Charlie’s vision, and divide MAGA. They are trying to save their (soon to be out of power for the foreseeable future) Democrat Party.

The real takeaway is...

🧨 The Deep State’s Attempt to Spin Damning Declassified Evidence

As declassified documents continue to expose what appears to be a coordinated intelligence operation against Donald Trump, the Deep State and their media allies are in full damage-control mode.

Case in point: Fox News just featured an op-ed by former CIA officer and Biden State Department spokesman Ned Price, attempting to “debunk” the bombshells released by DNI Tulsi Gabbard.

Make no bones about it, this isn’t an objective counterpoint. This is a narrative-management operation by a career Deep State insider.

🕵️‍♂️ Here’s What They’re Trying to Sell You:
That Obama couldn’t have led a coup because… he congratulated Trump after the election. (Yes, seriously.)

That Gabbard is using “sleight of hand” and “conflating” terms, even though her claims are backed by declassified U.S. intelligence.

That the 2017 Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA) was sound , even though multiple internal reviews, the Durham Report, and Senate oversight found evidence it was politicized.

That the ...

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Why Subpoena Them If They’ll Plead the Fifth? Because It’s Protocol for Prosecution.

Here is what many do not understand. I get the frustration but there is a method to the madness. Let me explain.

Subpoenaing Barack Obama, John Brennan, James Clapper, and others over the RussiaGate scandal (even if they ultimately plead the Fifth) is not just a procedural move; it’s a necessary step in any serious pursuit of justice and public accountability.

🔹 Why Subpoena Them?

1. Establish the Record:

You must formally bring these individuals under oath to compel their testimony. Whether they answer or invoke the Fifth, the act of subpoenaing is essential to build the official record and demonstrate due diligence in investigating the alleged conspiracy.

2. Indictment Requires Precedent:

Before a prosecutor can credibly seek an indictment (especially against former high-level officials) there must be an evidentiary trail. That includes prior sworn testimony or refusal to testify. Subpoenaing them is a legal and political prerequisite to indictments.

3. Public Opinion Matters:

...

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Census and Gerrymandering: How the GOP Is Fighting Back
UPDATED - 8/15/25 7:55am

America is standing at the edge of a political earthquake. It’s not just about one executive order, one census, or one round of redistricting. What’s unfolding is the culmination of decades of partisan maneuvering, demographic shifts, and constitutional disputes (and the results could permanently change the balance of power in Washington).

At the center of the storm is a startling admission: the U.S. Census Bureau overcounted several Democrat-leaning states in 2020, while undercounting Republican-leaning states. According to the Bureau’s own post-enumeration survey, these errors handed Democrats an estimated five extra congressional seats (and the electoral college votes that go with them) at the direct expense of red states like Florida and Texas.

Even more frustrating to many Americans, the Bureau insists the “oops” must stand until the next census numbers are applied in 2032. That’s nearly a decade of political power built on faulty data.

Trump’s Bold Countermove

President Donald J. Trump has decided that’s unacceptable. On August 7, 2025, he instructed the Commerce Department to conduct a new, highly accurate mid-decade census (one that excludes illegal aliens from the population count used for congressional apportionment and electoral college allocation).

Trump’s rationale rests on both constitutional and practical grounds. The Constitution requires an “actual Enumeration,” not statistical guesswork, and certainly not a count that inflates the representation of states with large populations of non-citizens. Under this new approach, red states like Texas and Florida could gain multiple seats, while blue strongholds like California, New York, and Illinois could see their delegations shrink.

Analysts estimate that excluding illegal aliens from the count could shift up to 14 seats from blue states to red states. California alone might lose four House seats. Florida and Texas could each gain four. The ripple effects on the Electoral College would be seismic, potentially locking Democrats out of a 270-vote path even if they won every “blue wall” state.

The Hypocrisy of Gerrymandering

While Democrats howl that this is an “attack on democracy,” they’ve long played the very same game in reverse. In fact, some of the most egregious gerrymanders in modern history exist in deep-blue states:

  • Massachusetts: Republicans make up 36% of voters but hold zero congressional seats.

  • Connecticut: 42% Republican, zero seats.

  • Maine: 46% Republican, zero seats.

  • New Mexico: 46% Republican, zero seats.

  • New Hampshire: 48% Republican, zero seats.

  • Rhode Island: 42% Republican, zero seats.

  • Vermont: 32% Republican, zero seats.

  • Hawaii: 38% Republican, zero seats.

  • Delaware: 42% Republican, zero seats.

Even in states where Republicans do hold seats, the imbalance is stark:

  • California: 38% Republican voters, but just 9 of 52 seats (20.9%).

  • Illinois: 44% Republican voters, but only 3 of 17 seats (17.6%).

  • Maryland: 34% Republican voters, but just 1 of 8 seats (12.5%).

  • Oregon: 41% Republican voters, but only 1 of 6 seats (16.7%).

This disparity is no accident. Blue states have systematically drawn maps to wipe out Republican representation. Now that red states are returning the favor, Democrats are discovering they have no room left to retaliate… they’ve already maxed out their own partisan advantages.

Texas as the Flashpoint

The battle has been especially fierce in Texas. After Democrat lawmakers fled the state to block legislation, Governor Greg Abbott and Attorney General Ken Paxton moved aggressively. Arrest warrants were issued for runaway legislators, and GOP lawmakers openly discussed increasing Republican representation with each week Democrats refused to return.

Under the Supreme Court’s 2019 Rucho v. Common Cause decision, partisan gerrymandering is a “political question” beyond federal court jurisdiction (meaning states can draw districts however they see fit). Red states are seizing that opportunity to counter decades of Democrat-drawn maps in blue territory.

The Bigger Picture

What’s happening now isn’t just about maps, or census methodology, or one executive order. It’s about a political realignment that could define American governance for a generation. By excluding non-citizens from the count and aggressively redrawing districts, Republicans could secure a structural advantage in both Congress and the Electoral College that Democrats would be hard-pressed to overcome.

Democrats have long argued these tactics undermine democracy. But as even some liberal commentators admit, they’ve been using the exact same tactics in their own states for years (and in many cases, more aggressively than Republicans ever did).

The irony is inescapable: the party that perfected the art of gerrymandering and census manipulation is now on the receiving end of its own playbook.

If the trends hold, the 2026 midterms could deliver a decisive shift in power… not just for the next Congress, but for decades to come.

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Restoring Federalism: Repealing Selective Incorporation and Returning to the Founders’ Vision of State Sovereignty

 

Executive Summary

If constitutional originalists such as historian David Barton or jurists in the tradition of Justice Clarence Thomas could propose one constitutional amendment, it would be this:

"To repeal the doctrine of selective incorporation, thereby restoring the Bill of Rights to its original purpose: a restraint solely on the federal government, not the states."

The selective incorporation doctrine—derived from the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process Clause—has enabled federal courts to impose nationalized standards on state governments, in areas ranging from religion and speech to criminal procedure and gun rights. Though seemingly protective of individual liberties, this doctrine has also eroded state sovereignty, upended local moral governance, and consolidated federal judicial supremacy—a direction wholly foreign to the Founders’ original design.

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Yes, We Have the Evidence: Obama Officials Accused in Treasonous Coup Against Trump

In a bombshell report, conservative commentator Dr. Steve Turley claims that former President Barack Obama is at the center of a scandal that dwarfs Watergate, potentially marking one of the most significant political controversies in American history.

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According to Turley, newly declassified intelligence documents (released by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard) reveal a "treasonous conspiracy" orchestrated at the highest levels of government, implicating Obama himself.

Turley cites a Truth Social post by President Donald Trump, featuring an AI-generated video symbolically depicting Obama’s arrest and imprisonment. While the video is not literal, Turley argues it reflects a growing sentiment that “the walls are closing in” on the former president. He describes the unfolding events as a “national scandal” with a paper trail leading directly to Obama—one that could become what Turley calls the “crown jewel” of Trump’s historic legacy.

AI Generated

 

The Allegations: A Coup in Motion

Turley’s central claim is based on over 100 declassified documents, which he says have been referred to the Department of Justice for criminal prosecution. According to Turley:

  • Before the 2016 election, every major U.S. intelligence agency (including the FBI, CIA, NSA, and Department of Homeland Security) agreed there was no evidence of Russian collusion with Trump’s campaign.

  • Despite this, Turley alleges that in December 2016, shortly after Trump’s victory, Obama ordered a coordinated effort to fabricate intelligence contradicting those findings.

This alleged effort involved senior officials such as:

  • FBI Director James Comey

  • Deputy FBI Director Andrew McCabe

  • CIA Director John Brennan

  • Director of National Intelligence James Clapper

  • Secretary of State John Kerry

  • National Security Adviser Susan Rice

According to Turley, this operation was intended to delegitimize Trump’s presidency, amounting to a “systematic creation of false intelligence.” Citing Tulsi Gabbard, Turley calls this a “treasonous” act that undermined the democratic process and triggered a constitutional crisis.

Beyond Partisan Lines: A Threat to Democracy

Turley emphasizes that this is not a partisan issue:

“It’s irrelevant whether you’re Republican or Democrat… What Tulsi is exposing represents a fundamental attack on the democratic process.”

He warns that the alleged actions went far beyond political maneuvering. They represented a direct assault on the legitimacy of a duly elected president and on the will of the American people.

Whistleblowers & the Call for Justice

Turley also claims that whistleblowers from within Obama’s administration are now coming forward, ready to testify. These individuals, he says, are preparing affidavits describing how federal institutions were weaponized against the American people.

Gabbard has emphasized the need for accountability:

  • Prosecutions and indictments are necessary, she argues, to restore trust in democratic institutions.

  • Turley agrees, framing this not as a matter of revenge, but of justice, ensuring that no future administration can misuse intelligence agencies for political ends.

Media Complicity & the Fight for Truth

Turley warns that the legacy media—which he labels as “complicit” in the scandal—may attempt to bury or discredit the story. However, he insists:

“The documents don’t lie.”

He predicts that within months, a major media figure might break ranks and expose the media’s role in covering up the scandal, further amplifying its national impact.

Final Word: A Populist Crossroads

In a broader appeal, Turley urges Americans to stay engaged:

  • He calls on citizens to demand accountability and stand with a populist movement that cuts across traditional political lines.

  • He stresses: “The rule of law must apply equally to everyone.”

As the Justice Department—now led by Pam Bondi, reviews the evidence, Turley promises to continue monitoring developments and keep his audience informed.

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Source: Dr. Steve Turley

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