On June 13, 2025, Israel launched a bold, preemptive strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, targeting sites like Natanz and eliminating key military figures, including IRGC commander Hossein Salami. The operation, dubbed "Operation Rising Lion," has sparked global alarm, with some fearing a slide into World War III. Yet, a closer look reveals this conflict is unlikely to escalate into a global conflagration. Here are ten (plus a bonus) compelling reasons why this strike, while significant, won’t ignite a broader war, grounded in strategic realities and current dynamics.

First, back-channel sentiments suggest many nations quietly support Israel’s move, even if they won’t say so publicly. Regional powers like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, wary of Iran’s nuclear ambitions, view the strike as a check on Tehran’s regional dominance, though diplomatic restraint keeps them silent. Western allies, while urging de-escalation, privately see the strike as a necessary response to Iran’s provocations, especially after the IAEA’s June 12 resolution condemned Iran’s non-compliance with nuclear obligations.

Second, Iran stands alone. Its traditional allies (Russia, China, and proxies like Hezbollah) are either unwilling or unable to escalate over nuclear facilities. Russia and China, both IAEA voters against Iran, prioritize their own strategic interests over defending Tehran’s nuclear program, especially given global scrutiny. Hezbollah, battered by Israel’s 2024 strikes, lacks the capacity to retaliate meaningfully, leaving Iran isolated.

Third, Iran’s stonewalling and bad-faith negotiations invited this response. For years, Tehran delayed and obstructed IAEA inspections, breaching its non-proliferation obligations since 2019. The failure of U.S.-Iran talks in Oman, coupled with Iran’s uranium enrichment nearing weapons-grade levels, signaled deceit. Israel’s strike was a direct answer to this duplicity, not an unprovoked act.

Fifth, Iran cannot match Israel in a head-to-head conflict. Israel’s technological superiority, demonstrated by its ability to penetrate Iran’s defenses and destroy fortified sites, far outstrips Iran’s outdated military. Tehran’s April and October 2024 attacks on Israel were largely intercepted, exposing its weaknesses. A direct war would be catastrophic for Iran’s already strained forces.

Sixth, as an Islamic nation, Iran is unlikely to target holy cities or key Israeli urban centers. Striking Jerusalem or other sacred sites risks alienating the Muslim world, particularly Sunni nations already skeptical of Iran’s ambitions. Tehran’s leadership, despite its rhetoric, understands the catastrophic backlash of such a move.


Seventh, a broader war would harm Gaza and the Palestinians, creating a public relations disaster for Iran. Escalation could disrupt humanitarian efforts in Gaza, where Iran claims to champion the Palestinian cause. The optics of worsening Palestinian suffering would erode Iran’s regional credibility and turn global sentiment against it, especially amid ongoing Gaza conflicts.

Eighth, President Donald Trump, as the 47th POTUS, is not playing games. His administration’s “maximum pressure” policy and clear support for Israel signal zero tolerance for Iranian escalation. Trump’s warning to Tehran was for them to agree to a nuclear deal or face “even more brutal” strikes sets a firm boundary, deterring Iran from risky retaliation.

Ninth, Iran’s economy is too fragile to sustain a prolonged conflict. Crippled by sanctions and internal unrest, Tehran cannot afford the financial or political cost of war. A drawn-out conflict risks domestic instability, potentially threatening the regime’s survival, which Iran’s leaders are keen to avoid.


Tenth, global powers are leaning toward diplomacy to prevent escalation, as evidenced by the IDF’s recent map of Iran’s missile range, which threatens nations like Russia, China, Turkey, Pakistan, India, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, and Northeast Africa. In short, Iran is a global threat. Many of these are nuclear-armed and eager to avoid conflict. Despite public criticism, France, Germany, and the UK are advocating restraint and pushing for renewed nuclear negotiations. Even China and Russia, while voicing disapproval, are hesitant to support Iran militarily, prioritizing stability to protect global markets from disruption.

The strikes have undoubtedly heightened tensions, but they don’t herald World War III. Israel’s operation was a calculated move to neutralize an existential threat, not a reckless bid for war. Iran’s isolation, military inferiority, and strategic constraints (coupled with global calls for restraint and Trump’s firm leadership) ensure this conflict remains contained. The world watches, but the path to de-escalation is clearer than the fearmongers suggest.

“The most important thing in politics in America is honoring the promises that you make to the American people...that sacred trust between the voter and the man they elect.” — Stephen Miller

That statement, delivered during a June 5, 2025 White House discussion on President Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill, captured the essence of what this legislation represents. Joined by senior White House officials Taylor Budowich, Russ Vought, and James Braid, Miller helped unveil a bill that transforms the promises of the campaign trail into binding law. It is a MAGA rally condensed into legislation.

This is not a spending bill. It is not a budget. It is a surgical, reconciliation-only package crafted to bypass the filibuster and deliver immediate, high-impact reforms on taxes, immigration, energy, and welfare. All of this will be done without raising spending or expanding bureaucracy. Despite predictable media distortions, the facts speak for themselves: this is the most pro-American, pro-worker, and fiscally responsible package to come out of Washington in a generation.

Here are seven reasons why every American should support this historic piece of legislation.

1. This is not a spending bill. It’s essential reconciliation:
As Russ Vought emphasized, this legislation is not funding the bureaucracy that remains subject to appropriations. Instead, it's a reconciliation bill designed to lock in critical reforms and campaign commitments while avoiding the Senate filibuster. It tackles mandatory spending and tax measures (what the American people care about most) without increasing discretionary outlays.

2. It doesn’t raise spending. It rescues taxpayers and trims government:
The bill cuts net mandatory spending by about $1.6–1.7 trillion over 10 years through welfare reforms like Medicaid work requirements and tightened eligibility. These savings are used to fund tax relief, not to expand government .

3. It doesn’t raise taxes. In stead, it upholds Trump's 2017 tax cuts permanently:
This legislation codifies the tax cuts introduced in 2017: no tax on tips, overtime, social security, full interest deductibility for American-made car loans, and a better child tax credit. This represents the largest working- and middle-class tax cut package ever proposed, with estimates of a $13,000 average take-home pay boost per typical family.

4. It's economically pro-growth and anti-inflation:
Miller and Vought both highlight that by eliminating regulations and unleashing American energy, this bill fights inflation and lowers costs across the board in heating, fuel, electricity, and beyond. Meanwhile, work incentives (no tax on tips, overtime deductions) help more Americans earn more.

5. It enforces border security without causing debt:
This bill provides full, upfront funding for the border wall, ICE, and CBP, paid for by increasing visa and immigration fees so the money doesn’t come out of the taxpayer’s pocket 

6. CBO scores (don’t be fooled by baselines):
Critics rely on the CBO’s “current-law baseline,” which assumes existing tax cuts expire automatically, inflating deficit projections. White House experts argue for a “current-policy baseline”, reflecting realistic continuation of policies. According to Vought and Miller, under that baseline, the bill reduces the deficit by approximately $1 trillion, thanks to spending cuts and economic growth, not tax increases.

7. Misunderstandings about Medicaid cuts are overblown:
This bill does not remove “granny’s” Medicaid. Instead, it tightens work, verification, and participation requirements to root out fraud and refocus direct benefits on those truly in need, building on bipartisan reforms from the 1990s .

BONUS. Discretionary spending cuts are coming (but in the right vehicle):
Discretionary programs (like Education, USAID, NPR) must be cut via separate rescission bills or annual appropriations. That is underway such that hundreds of billions in planned cuts are flowing through those channels, not through this reconciliation package.

In the end...

• ✅ Not a bloated spending bill: actually cuts mandatory spending.

• ✅ No new taxes: solidifies and expands tax relief focused on working families.

• ✅ Inflation-buster: by deregulating and promoting domestic energy.

• ✅ Border-first: front-loaded funding paid by non-tax sources.

• ✅ Responsible budgeting: addresses deficits through real cuts, not gimmicks.

This is legislative MAGA in motion delivering on promises, empowering taxpayers, and enforcing fiscal responsibility. If we allow skeptics to mislabel it as “spending” or “reckless,” we risk losing a once-in-a-generation chance to reshape government and economy in favor of everyday Americans.

Let’s call out the confusion, reject the scare tactics, and stand behind a bill that honors the trust of voters, keeps the campaign pledges intact, and secures our nation’s future prosperity.

Center-left and mainstream voices may spin misleading headlines, but the facts are clear: this bill cuts spending, cuts taxes, and cuts big government. That’s why it deserves our backing.

In 1861, Abraham Lincoln confronted a Democratic Party that had torn the nation apart. Fueled by radical Southern ideologues, they chose rebellion over union, slavery over liberty, and anarchy over constitutional order. Lincoln answered not with compromise, but with decisive force. The result? The Civil War crushed the Democratic Party’s national power for nearly a century. From 1861 to 1932, they won the presidency only twice. Lincoln didn’t just save the Union. He politically dismantled the party that tried to destroy it.

Now, in 2025, history repeats itself.

President Donald J. Trump finds himself facing a new kind of rebellion—one not fought with muskets, but with foreign flags, firebombs, and mobs protected by Democrat mayors and governors. In Los Angeles, lawful ICE deportations triggered mass riots, freeway takeovers, and violent attacks on federal officers; all cheered or excused by the modern Democratic Party.

But like Lincoln, Trump did not hesitate.

He federalized the National Guard, overriding California’s objections. And as of today, 700 active-duty U.S. Marines are being deployed to Los Angeles, marking the first such federal military response in nearly six decades. This isn’t just a law enforcement move. It’s a line in the sand.

Just as Lincoln shattered the pro-slavery Democrats, Trump now stands ready to break the post-American, open-borders party that wages war on sovereignty, law, and the very fabric of the nation. What we are witnessing is not mere unrest. It is a political realignment. And it may well mark the beginning of the end for the Democratic Party as a viable national force.

This is not just a reaction to civil unrest. This is a pivot in American history. It is a bold shift toward law, sovereignty, and national identity. The Democrats, meanwhile, have chosen chaos. They’ve taken the side of rioters and illegals, and in doing so, they may have committed political suicide.

1. The ICE Raids That Exposed the Left

Over the weekend, ICE carried out lawful, coordinated workplace raids in L.A. County. These were not random roundups. They were federal operations targeting known immigration violators. The response?

Rioters flooded the streets, waving Mexican and Central American flags.
They threw projectiles at ICE agents, set self-driving vehicles on fire, and stormed the 101 Freeway, trapping innocent families in traffic.

Rather than support the rule of law, California's elected officials condemned ICE, not the mobs. It was yet another instance of Democrats openly protecting lawlessness under the guise of “justice.”

2. Trump Acts...And He Doesn’t Wait for Permission

President Trump responded immediately. On Saturday night, he invoked Title 10 of the U.S. Code, bypassing Governor Gavin Newsom and federalizing 2,000 National Guard troops to quell the rebellion. 

Then today, June 9, it was confirmed: 700 active-duty U.S. Marines are being deployed to Los Angeles.

This level of decisive action hasn’t been seen since President Eisenhower deployed troops to enforce desegregation in 1957. Trump’s message is clear: this country will not be held hostage by anarchists, whether they wear black masks or fly foreign flags.

3. Democrats Choose Rioters Over America

Every Democrat governor in the country condemned Trump’s actions—not the violence, not the foreign flags, not the attacks on ICE.

• They sided with the mobs.
• They sided with those who want to dismantle American sovereignty.
• They sided against every American who believes in borders, law enforcement, and national identity.

This is not political overreach. It is an exposure of the true character of the Democrat Party in 2025: post-American, post-sovereign, and post-constitutional.

4. The 80/20 Issue: Americans Side with Trump

This isn’t some far-right fantasy. Poll after poll confirms it. Immigration enforcement is an 80/20 issue:

• CBS/YouGov (despite a heavy Democrat sampling) shows a majority supporting Trump’s deportation agenda.

• Aggregate polling places Trump’s immigration approval between 52% and 60%, even among independents.

• RMG, one of the most accurate pollsters from 2024, has Trump's immigration support approaching 60%.

Even voters who don't love Trump know he’s right on immigration. Americans are tired of seeing our laws ignored, our borders overrun, and our cities burned by activists who hate the country that shelters them.

5. From Summer of Love to Summer of the Steel Glove

In 2020, President Trump allowed local leaders to manage the riots of which many failed miserably. That summer was dubbed the “Summer of Love” by the left and the “Summer of Surrender” by the right.

But 2025 is different.

Trump isn't asking anymore. He’s acting. This is the “Summer of the Steel Glove”. This is a season marked by strength, law, and federal resolve.

The left opened the gates for four years, allowing 12 million illegal migrants into our country. Trump is closing them...decisively.

6. Why This Could Be the End of the Democrat Party

The Democrat Party has aligned itself with:

• Foreign flags over American highways

• Rioters over families

• Anarchy over order

• Open borders over national security

It is now the party of post-America. This is a movement that believes America is evil, success is theft, and sovereignty is oppression.

As commentator Christian Hines said, “You’re not going to reason with someone who thinks foreign mobs waving foreign flags are just as American as you.”

This isn’t politics as usual. This is a civilizational crisis. The Democrat Party has shown its hand, and it cannot win national elections on this agenda. As Stephen Miller put it:

“How does a party that backs illegal criminals, supports Hamas, and lets men into girls’ sports ever win again?”

They won’t. Not if the America First movement stays strong.

7. A Call to Action: What Comes Next

Trump has shown us the way. The American people are with him. Now, the right must:

• Match the left’s radicalism with lawful, constitutional force

• Pursue arrests and prosecutions of sanctuary politicians aiding illegal activity

• Take back local control from Soros-backed DAs

• Never again surrender cities to mobs

The left has already gone DEFCON 5 for their post-America vision. Now, we must match and exceed that resolve for America First.

If we stay the course, this won’t just be about winning an election.

Like Lincoln before us, we have the opportunity to break a party that chose rebellion over unity, ideology over country. We’ll dismantle the Democratic Party for a generation and reclaim the sovereign nation they tried to destroy.